Poll Shock: Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa Closing in on Socialist Zohran Mamdani as NYC Mayoral Race Tightens in Stunning New Poll
The battle for New York City’s next mayor just got a lot more intense. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo and Republican activist Curtis Sliwa are both closing in on Democratic frontrunner Zohran Mamdani, according to a new poll that has sent shockwaves through city politics. The survey, released late Friday, shows Mamdani’s once-comfortable lead shrinking to just seven percentage points, marking the closest the race has been since the start of the campaign.
For Cuomo, the numbers are a striking political revival. After stepping away from public office following his 2021 resignation, the former governor has been carefully rebuilding his image — attending community events, holding quiet fundraisers, and reestablishing ties with the city’s moderate Democrats who once formed the backbone of his support. Sources close to his campaign say this latest polling surge represents “momentum that can’t be ignored.”
“People are remembering what leadership looked like — results, not ideology,” said one Cuomo strategist, hinting at the campaign’s new message. The poll indicates that nearly one in three Democratic voters who had previously written off Cuomo are now considering him again, citing his experience in managing crises like infrastructure projects and pandemic logistics.
Meanwhile, Curtis Sliwa, founder of the Guardian Angels and a longtime New York fixture, is also making gains. Running as a Republican with a populist edge, Sliwa’s appeal has stretched beyond his party’s base, particularly among working-class and outer-borough voters who feel alienated by what they call “the woke shift” in city politics. His campaign has focused on law and order, public safety, and homelessness — issues that have remained top concerns for voters in the post-pandemic era.
“This city is tired of being run into the ground,” Sliwa told supporters during a recent rally in Queens. “It’s time to take back New York from the politicians who use it as their playground.” His message appears to be resonating. The poll shows Sliwa pulling 18% of independent voters and cutting into Mamdani’s support among older New Yorkers who say they fear rising crime and economic instability.
As for Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic Socialist Assemblyman from Queens, he remains the frontrunner — but for the first time, his campaign is facing real turbulence. Known for his bold progressive agenda, which includes “tax the rich” proposals, rent freezes, and expanded public housing programs, Mamdani has built strong grassroots enthusiasm. But as the election draws closer, moderates and business leaders have begun pushing back, warning that his economic vision could further drive out investment and jobs.
Mamdani’s campaign has brushed off the latest poll, calling it “a momentary fluctuation.” A spokesperson said, “Zohran is fighting for working families, not Wall Street donors. The people know who’s on their side.” Yet privately, several Democratic operatives admit they’re nervous. “If Cuomo and Sliwa both keep rising, it could split the field and make this anyone’s race,” one insider said.
Political analysts note that the upcoming debates will be crucial. Cuomo’s experience gives him the advantage in policy discussions, while Mamdani’s grassroots energy could dominate in digital reach and enthusiasm. Sliwa, a media veteran, will likely use his sharp soundbites and street credibility to cut through both sides.
The shifting dynamics of the race suggest New York voters may be ready for something different — whether it’s a comeback from a seasoned heavyweight or a full pivot toward populist reform. What’s clear is that Mamdani’s lead is no longer untouchable.
With Election Day still months away, the city’s political atmosphere has transformed into a three-way fight that could redefine New York’s future. Cuomo is rebuilding his legacy, Sliwa is fighting for relevance and reform, and Mamdani is holding the line for the progressive movement.
In a city known for its surprises, this poll may be just the beginning.
